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Flu


With all the media attention recently, the definitions and implications of avian (bird) flu and a human influenza pandemic have blurred and merged into each other. There is a major differentiation and the City of London’s response to these risks is different.

What is avian flu?

As with humans and other species, birds are susceptible to flu. There are 15 types of avian (bird) flu. The most contagious strains, which are usually fatal in birds, are H5 and H7. Currently the strain of avian flu working its way around the globe is H5N1. This strain of flu is contracted by birds and, although around the world just over 150 people have been infected by the H5N1 virus, experts have stated that these cases have been when humans have had extremely close contact with infected birds.

There is no way of preventing the spread of avian flu because it is carried by migrating birds. However, that does not mean it will be passed to domestic flocks. There are currently no cases of H5N1 in UK poultry. Experts say proper poultry controls - such as preventing wild birds getting in to poultry houses - which are present in the UK, should prevent the spread to poultry.

Advice

  • The Department for the Environment Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) who are the Government Agency leading on this have issued extensive guidance to bird keepers on bio-security measures on the DEFRA website to protect their birds from avian influenza.  It is crucial that keepers follow these measures, and if they keep their birds outdoors that they need to have a clear plan for housing them indoors, where practicable, or isolating them from wild birds in an outbreak. 
  • Members of the public should avoid handling dead or sick birds and should keep children away from dead birds.  If the following are found in the same place:
    1. one or more dead swans,
    2. more than three dead birds of the same species or
    3. more than five dead birds of different species

    contact the DEFRA helpline – 08459 335577. The helpline is available between 6.00am and 10.00pm, Monday to Sunday.  Advice is available on the DEFRA website. People should always wear gloves if possible and wash their hands thoroughly if they have handled wild birds.
  • The risk to those travelling to countries where avian flu is prevalent is also low. There are no travel restrictions for persons travelling to affected countries.  But travellers should take the sensible hygiene precautions, ie good personal hygiene with frequent hand washing when in contact with farm animals and / or wildfowl, removing and washing contaminated clothing and disinfecting contaminated surfaces.
  • None of this, however, should stop people enjoying feeding the ducks in the park or cancelling visits to local countryside or the continent.
  • The Food Standards Agency considers that avian flu does not pose a food safety risk for UK consumers.  If you wish to eat poultry and eggs you should continue to do so, following the normal precautions of cooking thoroughly, ie until there are no red juices or in the case of eggs, cooking until the white is hard.  This advice applies to cooking chickens generally.

The City of London response

The City of London is supporting the work of DEFRA, which will assess each report of dead birds to determine the response required.  The City of London will support their response.

Where DEFRA believe further investigation is required they will arrange for the bird carcasses to be collected. Where they determine that no further action is required it will be the land owner’s responsibility to dispose of the carcass.

The City is continually monitoring the situation, particularly in its parks and gardens such as Epping Forest and Hampstead Heath. Furthermore, the City is also attending various local, pan-London, and national briefings and events on flu. The City will forward any reports of unusual bird deaths to DEFRA.

What is a human influenza pandemic?

Influenza pandemics are caused by new viruses that have adapted into a form transferable to humans. There is a risk that the H5N1 strain of avian flu currently in circulation could have the potential for this adaptation, but no cases are evident presently.  It is for this reason that there has been so much attention lately surrounding bird flu. Humans would have no immunity to this new virus and a vaccine cannot be developed until the new form of the virus actually emerges.  Consequently, the avian virus mutating into a form in which it is transferable from human to human would have serious implications.

According to the World Health Organisation (WHO) few countries have the necessary procedures in place for an influenza pandemic and has urged all countries to develop national preparedness plans.  In March 2005 the UK Government issued the first version of the National Influenza Contingency Plan to serve exactly this purpose.  Many organisations, across all sectors, are now grappling with the challenge of developing their own Influenza Contingency Plan.  The Government, WHO and the NHS among others have all issued guidance for planning assumptions based on estimated fatality rates and percentage of the population contracting influenza.

WHO has a system in place to monitor potential outbreaks across the globe.  Early warnings of potential outbreaks are very important.  If the response is quick enough it may be possible to contain the outbreak and prevent it from becoming a pandemic.  However, given the infectious nature of influenza this is a difficult task.  The faster the identification of a human virus the quicker a vaccine can be developed. That is not to say that the vaccine will be available promptly.  It could take four - six months to develop a vaccine in sufficient quantities to respond effectively to a pandemic. Therefore, it is unlikely that a vaccine will be available for the first wave of a pandemic (and there could be two or more waves occurring several months apart) which is expected to last somewhere between 12 and 20 weeks. 

All of the population is potentially at risk of catching flu during an influenza pandemic. Certain groups or age groups may be at greater risk than others. It is not known for certain who they will be until the virus circulates.

An influenza pandemic will place a considerable amount of pressure on the health and social services due to the increased number of patients with influenza requiring treatment both in the community and in hospital. Each pandemic is different and the actual impact on business cannot be predicted.  Absences from work will depend largely on the age group most affected by the virus.  In addition to absence due to illness, some workers may need time off to care for family members or may have difficultly getting to work through travel restrictions.

It is possible, depending on the severity of the influenza outbreak, that restrictive measures may be put in place which would have serious consequences for the operation of society. The UK National Plan refers to these measures collectively as ‘social distancing’.

The City of London response

The City of London has had business continuity plans in place for a number of years. These arrangements are being expanded to cater for the particular requirements of an influenza pandemic. The City is also participating in the multi-agency planning team established by the City & Hackney Primary Care Trust.

The City is continually monitoring the situation and the City’s response will reflect the needs of the community.

If an influenza pandemic were to occur the City of London would place information regularly on its website. 

Further information

If you have any queries or wish to discuss development of your Influenza plans please contact the Security & Contingency Planning Group:
Tel 020 7456 9810
Email


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